Commit Graph
2 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
chendun1995andClaude Opus 5.5 383ef89c2a Validation, NCE analysis, per-replicate oracle for landmark/naive, RCT truths script, resumable experiment runner
- W0 harm validation (40 reps): CCW and sequential ITT unbiased for their truths (|z| <= 0.7)
- PVI models fitted separately inside and after the window
- experiments.yml grid (8 worlds x 3 scenarios; designs x V1-V4; NCE; RCTs); smoke run clean

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]>
2026-10-27 09:19:59 -04:00
chendun1995andClaude Opus 5.5 5c4407f876 pvisim: parameters, simulator, claims records, tests; calibration of all worlds to Medicare targets
- latent-severity DGP with physicians (skill, style), policies A/B1/B2/sequential, common random numbers
- sharp null exact at the patient level (tested)
- 01_calibrate.R: joint logit-scale update; all worlds match early PVI 3.2%, late PVI 22.5/3.6%, CLTI 7.8%, death 35%
- W4 deferral target 15% (trial-like crossover); post-CLTI PVI lowered so late PVI is mostly elective

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]>
2026-10-27 08:15:18 -04:00