pvisim: parameters, simulator, claims records, tests; calibration of all worlds to Medicare targets

- latent-severity DGP with physicians (skill, style), policies A/B1/B2/sequential, common random numbers - sharp null exact at the patient level (tested) - 01_calibrate.R: joint logit-scale update; all worlds match early PVI 3.2%, late PVI 22.5/3.6%, CLTI 7.8%, death 35% - W4 deferral target 15% (trial-like crossover); post-CLTI PVI lowered so late PVI is mostly elective Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]>
2026-10-27 08:15:18 -04:00
parent eb886d5505
commit 5c4407f876
11 changed files with 760 additions and 0 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,104 @@
+W0:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -6.3552
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -7.7172
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.6375
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4903
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6504
+W4:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -6.3535
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -6.7744
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.6429
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4903
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6542
+W1:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -6.3552
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -7.7172
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.7951
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4903
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6504
+W1_rho0:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -6.3552
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -7.7172
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.7187
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4903
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6504
+W2:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -7.3097
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -8.5615
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.5855
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4913
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6505
+W3:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -7.3134
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -8.5848
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -6.4032
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.5232
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.649
+W5:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -6.3552
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -7.7172
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -5.6375
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.4903
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6504
+WR:
+  treatment:
+    window:
+      intercept: -7.3131
+    deferred:
+      intercept: -9.598
+  outcomes:
+    repeat_revasc:
+      intercept: -6.8121
+    clti:
+      intercept: -7.5233
+    death:
+      intercept: -5.6489